Captain Picks & Differentials

Ranking the pool for gameweek 1

Deadline Fri 21 Aug 18:30

Haaland

#	Player	Next	xPts	Price	Pts	Own %
1	Haaland MCI FWD	BOU (H)	5.8	£15.5m	239	74.0%
2	B.Fernandes MUN MID	hul (A)	5.8	£12.0m	235	48.4%
3	Gabriel ARS DEF	COV (H)	5.7	£8.0m	209	26.6%
4	Saka ARS MID	COV (H)	5.4	£9.5m	157	10.7%
5	O'Reilly MCI DEF	BOU (H)	5.1	£6.5m	160	22.4%
6	Calafiori ARS DEF	COV (H)	5.1	£5.5m	109	17.0%
7	Raya ARS GKP	COV (H)	5.1	£6.0m	162	31.0%
8	Mbeumo MUN MID	hul (A)	5.0	£8.0m	148	22.1%
9	Gibbs-White NFO MID	LEE (H)	5.0	£8.0m	188	11.6%
10	Palmer CHE MID	ful (A)	4.9	£9.5m	114	11.4%
11	Semenyo MCI MID	BOU (H)	4.9	£8.5m	202	25.1%
12	Guéhi MCI DEF	BOU (H)	4.9	£6.0m	179	23.3%
13	Bruno G. ARS MID	COV (H)	4.8	£7.0m	154	10.2%
14	Cherki MCI MID	BOU (H)	4.8	£7.5m	135	9.1%
15	Dowman ARS MID	COV (H)	4.8	£5.5m	16	0.2%
16	Awoniyi NFO FWD	LEE (H)	4.7	£5.5m	43	0.4%
17	Thiago BRE FWD	TOT (H)	4.7	£8.0m	181	16.0%
18	Roefs SUN GKP	ips (A)	4.7	£5.0m	136	5.0%
19	Pickford EVE GKP	CRY (H)	4.6	£5.5m	135	8.8%
20	Tarkowski EVE DEF	CRY (H)	4.6	£6.0m	170	9.8%
21	Kelleher BRE GKP	TOT (H)	4.6	£5.0m	143	5.6%
22	N.Williams NFO DEF	LEE (H)	4.6	£5.0m	128	12.3%
23	O.Dango BRE MID	TOT (H)	4.6	£6.5m	136	1.4%
24	Rice ARS MID	COV (H)	4.6	£7.5m	184	22.2%
25	Enzo CHE MID	ful (A)	4.6	£7.0m	157	5.5%

Every available player with at least one full match of minutes, ranked by expected points for gameweek 1. Doubling the top name is the highest-expected-value captain choice.

#	Player	Next	xPts	Price	Pts	Own %
1	Awoniyi NFO FWD	LEE (H)	4.7	£5.5m	43	0.4%
2	Roefs SUN GKP	ips (A)	4.7	£5.0m	136	5.0%
3	Kelleher BRE GKP	TOT (H)	4.6	£5.0m	143	5.6%
4	O.Dango BRE MID	TOT (H)	4.6	£6.5m	136	1.4%
5	Enzo CHE MID	ful (A)	4.6	£7.0m	157	5.5%
6	Foden MCI MID	BOU (H)	4.5	£7.0m	131	6.9%
7	Hincapie ARS DEF	COV (H)	4.5	£5.5m	87	4.1%
8	Aït-Nouri MCI DEF	BOU (H)	4.5	£5.5m	60	1.2%
9	Ballard SUN DEF	ips (A)	4.5	£5.0m	116	4.0%
10	Matheus N. MCI DEF	BOU (H)	4.4	£6.0m	154	4.7%
11	De Cuyper BHA DEF	AVL (H)	4.4	£4.5m	84	1.3%
12	Eze ARS MID	COV (H)	4.4	£6.5m	113	3.2%
13	Merino ARS MID	COV (H)	4.4	£6.0m	67	1.1%
14	Doku MCI MID	BOU (H)	4.4	£7.5m	120	6.4%
15	Martinez AVL GKP	bha (A)	4.4	£5.0m	120	4.8%
16	Wieffer BHA DEF	AVL (H)	4.4	£5.0m	94	0.3%
17	Dewsbury-Hall EVE MID	CRY (H)	4.4	£6.5m	151	3.7%
18	Collins BRE DEF	TOT (H)	4.4	£5.5m	129	2.0%
19	White ARS DEF	COV (H)	4.4	£5.5m	45	0.6%
20	Keane EVE DEF	CRY (H)	4.4	£5.0m	131	1.6%
21	A.Becker LIV GKP	new (A)	4.3	£5.5m	91	4.1%
22	Ellborg SUN GKP	ips (A)	4.3	£4.5m	16	0.1%
23	Henderson CRY GKP	eve (A)	4.3	£5.0m	131	3.1%
24	Dalot MUN DEF	hul (A)	4.3	£5.0m	111	3.1%
25	Schade BRE MID	TOT (H)	4.3	£6.0m	125	2.0%

Available players owned by under 8.0% of managers, with at least two matches of minutes, ranked by expected points. A differential only helps if it returns — check the fixture before you jump.

How to read these tables

Captaincy is an expected-value decision, not a prediction. The armband doubles whatever happens, so the highest expected-points player is the right pick over a season even when it blanks in a given week.

Differentials trade certainty for rank movement. Owning what everyone else owns keeps your rank still; a low-ownership player who hauls moves it a long way. The lower the ownership, the bigger the swing in both directions.

Captains & Differentials

Who to captain, and the low-ownership punts that climb rank

ID 4849 –

How to read these tables